以心理史觀來看香港和中國未來的發展

現實是在中共的勢力日益上升,香港自由的空間愈來愈小是心理史觀上的必然,由1997到2007是中共錯估了形勢,又或者未夠時間去介入(和拉攏台灣有關?),然後就是全面介入及全面控制,這是它對台灣、香港及國內公民社會發展的回應,它首先肯定它自己一定是遊戲的一部份,然後理所當然要佔優,理所當然地用它的雄厚資源來做後盾。雄厚資源來自專政政治下人民的一切都是國家的資產,可隨意使用;資本主義下人民的反抗力量強一點(私產權),會懂得反抗一點,但政府要挪用永遠不會無辦法。人的天性,誰不想隨心所欲,不過一個後者有明文禁止,而中共為了統治方便而不明文禁止,如此而已。因為專政政治的內部規則,所以介入最後的結果一定是自由空間的壓縮,別忘記中共還有文化上的龐大影響力,任何人或物,不可否認的是只要生存便一定有影響力。

好了,在去政治化的社會,反而是泛政治化,一般人都沒有不參與的權利,不少香港中產階級及年輕人都在發夢,以為中共的勢力不會理他們,然而看看中共的三反五反、文化大革命,你以為這些平民人人都想搞政治麼?在專制下他們為了生存不得不如此而已,你以為他們真的很想搞鬥爭麼?好了,在香港,看看北京奧運中社會一點異議都不容、看看明報歪曲事實來支持中共的李柱銘(詳看林夕網誌)是漢奸說、看看以前的愛國論事件、看看每一次選舉中共如何或明或暗的干預、看看電視中一個個以時人時事為嘲笑的節目都消失、看看港台的前途堪虞、看看ICAC對處理黃玉郎的放慢板、看看陶傑的「斑馬天下」如何一點點被化約成一個旅遊節目、尤其是看看主播天下的西藏特緝!專制容不下任何異議的聲音,每年的六四、七一,中共都相當反感,派人來拍攝參與者的樣貌,你可知它心裏想的是什麼呢?

香港的知識份子要生存不可以冷膜,對抗中共及香港的代言人是生存的唯一出路。你看看陳冠希事件後香港政府的反應是什麼?是想盡辦法保證下次同類事件不再「出亂子」,下次奇拿未出手已經被西方國家以傷害他們在中國的利益為由而被拉,專制的統治不容有意外,這是中共的唯物觀,逆天而行是也!任何自由性格的人,其實都需要反抗中共,而如果他/她是中產,而且聰明、有知識、有創意、有點個人魅力,在互聯網時代下,破壞能力就驚人,他們是中共在香港的心腹大患,它不怕泛民主派因為泛民有完整的理念,行為可以預計,亦一早有對策。以它的本性及心理狀態,最怕的應年輕有知識、甚至有一點個人魅力的自由人如林夕,因他們隨時可以弄一個福佳出來,令香港政府及中共難堪。幽默、創意天生是專制的敵人(你看看「十六不搭喜趣來」的下場),97以前反智是因為殖民地統治需要,如今中共的本質,只是另一個宗主國,當然要反智。要是香港不反智, 天天出一個長毛,香港政府如何以最低的社會成本來統治?

看到電視節目中以時人時事的笑話節目愈來愈少,就是中共專制的陰影已經在香港生根的明證。它要如何控制我們,參看它如何接官西藏,它一定不會直接打壓自由主義者,因為要顧及國際形像,而且易激起反彈;它一定是由資本主義社會的劣恨性開始,一步步腐蝕它不喜歡的人的生存空間,如果可以的話,最好把「疑似異議人仕」一個個以各種名義「放遂」出國。香港自97以後自由不停向後倒退是事實(有數據證明),但因為政治制度被逼向更民主方向發展,結果香港社會的內秏一天比一天嚴重,投訴聖經事件正是其中一例,所以有人以為香港終會有暴動一天(約二年),因為世界自由化,中共反自由,香港夾在中間,文化衝突最烈。香港社會的核心問題在北京,提倡香港獨立者比其他人更需要想辦法反抗中共對香港的統治!

發生大衝突後,如果沒有特殊的外因,根本改變不了香港/中共國的政治生態,結果會如何?秋後算賬是也,中共可以用政治上的權力(代價較高),可以用經濟實力(如果他工作的公司在中共國有生意的話),可以用唯命是從的傳媒來殺人不用刀,可以用發自真心的暴民/憤青(代價最低),香港的知識份子頭腦要清醒一點,因為中國的前途在於你們肯站起來反抗。

如果不作有系統反抗,中國香港遲早一同船毀人亡!
(陳巧文小姐,你看到了沒有?今次香港的網民可以壓得住糞青的「姦殺令」,但再多5年後又如何?在中共國內又如何?如果你真心的想改變中國,還不快快留言加入我們!我不會公開任何有志之仕的資料的!)

道家思想和心理學的異同

我在「視而不見和心理學」及「視而不見和心理分析學」中提及心理學的一些邏緝和道家哲學相同的地方,用意是道家哲學可以用邏緝來推出一些通用於心理學、物理學、化學及生物學的事實,然而,道家思想和心理學不是無相異的地方。他們相異的地方,正是在「心理分析學和行為主義(II)」一文中提及的心理分析學和行為主義相同的地方,因為兩學派都以為人的由其歷史決定其行為/思想,但過去的影響可以透過方法去消除/改變,理論上還可以還原到原始狀態,再一次經由不同的歷史產生另一套行為/思想。然而按我所理解的道家思想,「返樸歸真」是代表人可以減低的影響,卻不代表人的過去可以用任何方式去清洗,正如學功夫一定是先學招式,再漸漸忘記其招式,卻不可以在一開始時立刻教授最高階的「無招勝有招」;但心理分析學派及行為主義學派都認為,人是有無限還原的能力的。到底矛盾在哪裏?

Comparing Afghanistan and Iraqi

Comparing Afghanistan and Iraqi is, in a sense, like comparing oranges and apples. Although they are both Muslims country, it is too much a simplification that American generals done in orchestrating the overthrow of their governments and the transition to civilian ruling. In the eye of American, they are both ruled by ruthless dictators, however, the subtle difference lies in the form of dictatorship it is taking. Also in the eye of American, their people enjoy little freedom as those in other Muslims country, but the subtleties lies in what way their people are deprived of their freedom, as well as the altitudes of governed toward their native government. These subtle difference resulted in great difference in the consequences.
In Iraqi, as much as American like to imagine, it is one of the few secular countries(other include Turkey and Iran) among its Muslims neighbor. Thus, in a sense, the Iraqi citizen are enjoying unprecedented freedom compare to those of their neighbor. Is that more likely Iraqi citizen compare themselves to other neighbor or to America? It appears to me that American has a habit of taking everything from USA as granted without putting it into historical context, and assuming the whole world think like USA citizen. Moreover, it maybe that the freedom could be exercised by Iraqi citizen is far less than what is stated in the constitution, but it is much better than the theocracy in Afghanistan. Another important factor is that the economical condition of an average Iraqis is far better than an average Afghanistan citizen, therefore the dissident are mostly political in nature. As wicked as Saddam Hussein be, his political party has come to power via a process that at least has some legitimacy, thus the root of legitimacy lies in political system.

Now, for Afghanistan, the struggle between Taliban and Northern Alliance is seen by many as power struggle between Arabs and native Afghanistians. Thus Taliban’s only sense of legitimacy come from its political ideal of moral-theocracy, but not its performance in managing the national economy, and its non-native root is never forgotten by its citizen. Therefore, USA is choosing the right stragety in toppling Taliban through aiding its proxy. However, the invasion of Iraqi could NEVER be right in the eye of Iraqis unless its toppled by revolution incited by USA. To them, it is United States invading Iraqi using the excuse of freedom and liberation, since lack of freedom wasn’t a concern for Iraqis big enough to rebel against a secular government. This government wasn’t a good one, but Iraqis fear more of the rule by religion as in other non-secular Muslims states. How much freedom that USA could bring to Iraqi purposefully rather than it take away unintentionally?
Therefore, it is not a surprise to anyone that rebellion resulted after USA declared its victory, it is as much as Saddam Hussein’s masterminded plan as much as a normal reaction to the political situation there. Since the original government is toppled, it is thus nature for every political/religion fraction to struggle for power there. Since Iraqi has little or no tradition of representative democracy, the easiest cost way to power is through violence and guns(In part because USA doesn’t have the military might/political will to fight every fraction in Iraq). USA should have known that Iraqis is perhaps the most militarized civilian in the world, and bullet cost much less than ballet.
What has happened now should be predictable beforehand. Is that American who are naive and stupid or they have other things in mind when invading Iraqi? Is that regardless of the situation in Iraqi, USA could make some gains from this invasion?

An hypothesis on Catalyst of Catalyst

It follow from the discussion on Between Catalyst and Placebo Effect and The Placebo effect and the question of mind and matter that analogous to recursive Repression in Freudian theory to hide any trace of repression, it is necessary for the brain to evolve Catalyst for neurological process so Placebo Effect is possible. Extending this analogy, the body isn’t just what the brain deceive, in order for the deception to be complete, the brain also need to deceive other parts of the brain. Thus, following the same logic, Catalyst of Catalyst of neurological process is necessary to have such an effect. By looking at the level of catalyst, we could tell how complete is the deception(and how good is Placebo Effect approximate its target). Similarly, we could infer from this line of logic that the existence of Catalyst implied some kind of cheating in the nature (in terms of energy). Theoretically, if it is chemically possible to accelerate a chemical reaction without itself being altered; then it should be possible that there exists another substance that could accelerate the ‘chemical reaction’ of Catalyst on the original reactants. If we could discover Catalyst of Catalyst, then we could understand how complete is that cheating in nature.

The Reconstruction of female in a Male-dominated society

When I was studying in USA, I observe that the dramas and movies are dominated by male themes like violence, causal sex. What sadden me is in a society which has a long traditional of gender equality; while in the Television, not just male is evaluating female via external qualities like looks and body but female is also portrayed as evaluating male in the same way male evaluate female. It appears to me that female is losing their femininity in their quest to become equal with male. Why is not the other ways around given female usually has longer life than male?

I remember how shocked I am when I realize that female has a different cognitive process in evaluating their suitor. The first time I seriously considering the possibility that internal qualities like personality, intelligence, sense of humor, wealth could be attractive in the same sense that external qualities like bodies and looks attractive to male. It appears to me that the process for male probably bear a closer relationship with sexual arousal than female. How is the alternative process possible? How is the process different from that of male?

In any sense, it would be of value for male to learn from the way which female choose their suitor. It appears to me that external qualities of anyone only hold their charm for relatively shorter time compare to the charm of internal qualities to female. Therefore, it sadden me much to see how the whole US society
is turning everyone into animal of sexual arousal, but care nothing about Philosopher. So USA culture only concerns about how to get the other sex to agree to your proposal of marriage; but not the content of the marriage.

你好有性格!

這是最常見聽到的一句話,我第一次聽後,心想:每個人都有性格,我到底如何可以比其他人更有性格呢?除非是其他人根本沒有性格的!
性格的意思是人的行為/思想/感情套進一套思想框架去分析,然後嘗試建立一套最完整的理論可以完全涵括這個的所有行為/思想/感情,但是因為人的行為往往最受他的身份/角色以及情境(situation)共同決定,因此我們通常看到的其實不真正反映由個人性格產生的行為,而是他的工作需要的行為/態度。如果要真正觀察一個人的性格,一是透過多種不同身份/角色以及情境下的行為,另一是以他的身份/角色以及情境為標準,再細心觀察他如何去扮演的角色,他扮演這角色時的個人特色,例如是不是比其他售貨員更主動、或者本來應該多言的卻沉默寡言。而這樣推敲出來的性格還只可以是推測,因為我們不會直接觀察到他的動機。如此這般,何來有一些人很有性格呢?
我只可以猜想,這句話的通義代表了某些人的行為在某情況下特別起眼,而通常含貾義,泛指不合作的人。因為如果在工作時同事合作無間,則合作無間的行為,只可以歸因於為工作而合作,而不是本來是一個喜歡和別人合作的人,反而,明明工作需要同事合作,卻有同事偏不合作,由以上的邏緝於是有人歸因於他本人的性格,這是因為他的本身而不是由工作需要而來。另一層含意是在香港「主流主義」的社會環境下,每一個人都害怕自己太獨特出衆,因為「槍打出頭鳥」,行為與別不同的人很容易成為公衆的發洩對象。無他,公衆因為生活需要壓抑自己性格而非常不滿,其他膽敢雷池半步的人,自然成為最佳的攻擊對象西,所以每人都堨力壓抑自己的性格,避免成為集體攻擊的對象。
我好有性格,是不是代表有人無性格?無性格的人,是社會心理學的香港奇蹟。

戀童廦的心理學意義

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戀童廦的心理象徵意義有(不帶任何價值判斷):
1.兒童是純真的代表,純真代表無機心、無計算,不如成年人世界常見的兩性之間的性勒索,亦有處女情意結的影子。色情小說中常常用處女來做題材,而核心就是由貞潔被男性引領至淫蕩,居然出現了有經驗的處女的怪事,而抽述和兒童性交的色情小說,亦多強調兒童的純真和可憐,不明白成年人對他們的盤算;
2.兒童不會有愛情,有性無愛,和一夜情的理念相同,一夜情可以很浪漫,一生一世卻很沉重。如今社會天天浸淫在感情消費模式中,連小學生都懂談情說愛。要有真正的有性無愛的關係十分困難,於是有人唯有把年齡向下調,尋找愛情白痴,兒童於是成為其中一種對象;
3.兒童不會有意外懷孕,在無擔心之下盡情享受性交的快感,不同夫妻間會爭拗懷孕的問題,一方想懷孕另外一方不想懷孕,這在中國人的社會最明顯,就算是雙方同意懷孕不懷孕都會備受雙方父母的壓力。沒有任何不良後果的純性愛一切是全世界男人的最大願望,不少人為此不惜一切,甚至就算對象是近乎不懂性的兒童亦不放過;
4.害怕由性經驗比自己多的女性在性方面主導,陽痿心結。因為社會日趨開放,可能女性的性經驗比不少男性還豐富,或者男性自覺是女性的性玩物,而Twins一度流行,每次皆以學生制服示人,正是利用及強化中年男性的此一心結。香港式Lolita潮流的核心是什麼?不正正是讓男性在幻想把女性的變為性經驗比自己少的玩物;另外,因為大部份日本漫畫中的女主角都是去性化了的,因此亦不排除Cosplay玩家亦有類似的功用。
5.性剝削,由權力及操縱帶來的快感,這和一般人找性工作者的理由一樣,因為大多人都感覺不到命運在自己手裏,天生的權力意志(Will to power)在日常生活中得不到滿足,人生的無奈,一方面亦與後現代社會「人人平凡論」有關。

乘如Freud所言,病態心理是常態心理的延伸,可不可以倒過頭說常態心理是病態心理的延伸呢?
不知以下一篇我所寫作的色情小說有沒有以上的元素?另外一篇屋村淫傳的心理學涵義亦不少,尤其令人聯想起97年前後的香港!

Pleasure Principle and Cognitive Process

Freud use the Pleasure Principle to understand the operation of Unconscious. To him, Unconscious is probably evolved as a necessary mental apparatus to ensure the survival of the body. Therefore many consider that idea is only adequate to explain the satisfaction of lower human level such as Food. Water and Sex. However, Humanist’s idea of hierarchy of Human need is in a means of ‘extending’ the same model of Unconscious into other psychology realm. Essentially, in the eye of Humanist, there is no difference between different human needs in terms of its basic structure: All of them rely on Freud’s Deprivation-Satisfaction model. I always ponder if there is any fundamental difference between human needs at different hierarchy? Could the need of self-esteem, the need for self-actualization be anything categorically different from the need for food and sex? Is there anything wrong by placing all Human needs in the same framework of understanding? Are all human needs share the same psychological mechanism? Or each human need has a slightly different mechanism unique to its nature? Are all of them has basis in neurology?
What led me to ask this question is an very simple observation of the most common psychological process: Thinking. The secret of all thinker, Mathematician and researcher is all of them would enjoy the pleasure upon the complete resolution of their curiosity. Is that feeling of satisfaction be any difference from the sexual satisfaction? Are they base on similar/same neurological mechanism? So is that right in asserting that Pleasure Principle not just rule the Unconscious, it is also the same mechanism in the Higher Cognitive Process like Logical Thinking and Analyzing? Humanist Psychology does open the door for the possibility of understanding the Higher Cognitive Process via the existing knowledge on the how basic Human needs are built and satisfy. Or the reality is just the opposite, it is the Basic Human need like hunger and sex mimic the satisfaction mechanism of Higher Cognitive Process? Or it is the Higher Cognitive Process doesn’t have its own expressive mechanism, it has to borrow from the Lower? How could we differentiate between them? Is the phrase ‘The pleasure of knowledge’ has any literal truth value?

Idea on rate of Progress of Humanity

Mon, Apr 11, 2005 at 12:44 AM

Have been a while without writing this, I have been busy preparing
for my big day in May 4. You will see me in TV.
Anyhow, one ancient ideas:
1. How to calculate the speed of progress of humanity? One indirect
way of checking it is measure the amount of innovative idea become
reality. In other words, how many granted patent become a product
available in market. To do this we must make the assumption that ONLY
useful, new idea are patented, or stupid thing like how to alleviate
Y2K problem by looking at last two digits of year. It must something
new in terms of the composite of its conceptual element, not
reinventing wheel. And we would assume that all good ideas and
innovative methods in a country would take the heart to go through the
long and tedious patenting process. And assume the citizen would be
smart enough to use new and better method than sticking to an old
thing just because they are stupid and lazy.
Then according to some statistics from China Society of Invention,
each year only about 10% of innovation in average become reality. If
the sum of technological progress of a given society could be
represent by a number X, then it is growing exponential to 1.1X next
year. Continue the calculation,  we would have 2X in about 10 years.
So within 100 years, human technology would be 1024 times better than
now. And of course, countries that have better rate than 10% would
progress faster than slower one. Their difference grow exponentially
every year.

Thoughts on model of Psychology

Sat, Mar 26, 2005 at 1:24 AM

Tension between behavior, habit and personality.(This scheme of
separation maybe wrong, but the number shouldn’t be) What we thought
as an unique individual is actually made of 3 relatively independent
units. One being on top of each other as sort of meta-organizer: try
to understand it intellectually and try to regulate it.